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Quarterly Report: 2016 Q3

The number of reported terror attacks across Egypt remained high from July to September 2016, and the majority were reported in North Sinai governorate.

The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy’s Egypt Security Watch explores the nature of the security threat that Egypt faces, providing insight and analysis on the state’s response to this threat. Last week’s attack at St. Mark’s Cathedral and the continued bombings in Cairo tragically demonstrate the need for evidenced-based analysis to better understand the nuances of an evolving, and enduring security threat, in order to stop such destructive and deadly criminal activity, while also addressing the highly complex political and social roots of the problem. This report covers the trends and developments in the third quarter of 2016, from July to September.

Key findings:

  • The number of reported terror attacks across Egypt remained high in the third quarter of 2016, with 209 reported attacks.
  • The majority of attacks were reported in the North Sinai governorate; North Sinai saw 198 attacks, or 95 percent of all reported attacks
  • On Friday, August 5, four assailants attempted to assassinate former Grand Mufti Ali Gomaa. One of his security detail reportedly sustained minor injuries in the exchange of gunfire. Hasam movement claimed the attack. The same group also claimed an attempted assassination of Assistant Prosecutor General Zakaria Abdel-Aziz on September 29 in Cairo’s Fifth Settlement.

As with all of our work at TIMEP, we are committed to furthering policies toward the region that both foster safety and security for its citizens, while recognizing that these must be based on a sincere and comprehensive respect for human rights and the rule of law. We hope that these reports will contribute to a sound understanding of the security situation necessary to inform this policy approach.

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