Articles & Analysis

Superficial Gains, but No Lasting Success in Sinai 2018

On February 9 last year, the Egyptian military spokesman announced the launch of “Comprehensive Military Operation Sinai 2018.” The operation, which involved the army, navy, air force, border patrol, and police forces, began after a speech in late December 2017,...

Measuring Success in Egypt’s War on Terror

The Egyptian Ministry of Defense posted a grainy video to its YouTube channel on Monday: A vehicle slowly approaches a checkpoint south of Arish. Nearby cars drive away and people scatter as a military tank crushes the vehicle, and presumably...

The Dueling Narratives of the Islamic State and the Egyptian State

When President Donald Trump welcomed Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah El Sisi at the White House earlier this month, Trump applauded Sisi’s efforts to fight terrorism in Egypt as Sisi boasted about his success.  Since those meetings, however, the Islamic State is...

Christians Flee North Sinai Violence

Over the past three weeks, approximately 140 Coptic Christian families fled the city of Arish, the capital of North Sinai, according to the Egyptian Ministry of Social Solidarity’s office in Arish. The exodus comes after the families were threatened with...

Sinai Residents Stuck Between the State and an Insurgency

February 11 marked the first day of a partial civil strike in Arish called by a number of North Sinai tribes. The civil disobedience comes amid the state’s failure to explain the circumstances behind a security operation last month that...

Sinai Insurgency Rages On

A year ago, in the early hours of July 1, a group of militants began their largest and most daring initiative yet: a coordinated offensive on the city of Sheikh Zuweid in the northeastern corner of Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula. Numbering...

Egypt’s Mainland Terrorism Landscape

On May 8, four men carried out a brutal mass shooting, emptying their magazines into an adjacent car as they drove along the Nile in Helwan, a district in Cairo. Eight policemen were killed during the attack, which was claimed...

Wilayat Sinai’s Tale of Control

Wilayat Sinai, the Islamic State’s “Sinai Province,” is using its near-monopolistic access to Sheikh Zuweid, Arish, Rafah, and other areas in Sinai’s northern region to create its own, unchecked narrative of success. Echoing the much-touted territorial domination of Islamic State’s...

What Media and Politicians Get Wrong About the Islamic State

On October 31, a St. Petersburg-bound aircraft full of Russian nationals disintegrated mid-flight over Egypt’s restive Sinai Peninsula. The official Egyptian investigation into the crash is still underway, but preliminary findings released on December 14 showed no “evidence of terrorism.”...

Understanding the Islamic State’s Strategy: Hassan Hassan on Last Week’s Terrorism Events

Last week, terrorists apparently affiliated with the Islamic State struck in Beirut and Paris, while official statements on the plane crash over Egypt’s Sinai increasingly pointed to a bomb. Hassan Hassan, author of ISIS: Inside the Army of Terror and...