Egypt Security Watch





Since 2010: This is a live operation.
TIMEP will continue to track all developments.

On July 24, 2013, Abdel-Fattah El Sisi addressed the Egyptian people, asking for a mass demonstration that would signal a popular mandate to confront a wave of terrorism that was plaguing the country. Sisi’s remarks came on the tails of one of the bloodiest months in Egypt’s recent history; in the 30 days prior to Sisi’s address, assailants had carried out 70 acts of terror, resulting in the deaths of 35 Egyptians. (These terror acts, which TIMEP defines as premeditated violence intended for political ends, also do not account for significant other sporadic conflict that had been occurring throughout the country.)

Since the July 24 address, Egypt’s war on terror has only intensified, and yet the security situation in the country remains frighteningly fragile. Massive campaigns of indiscriminate arrest throughout the country, the heavy militarization of the restive Sinai Peninsula, and a steady stream of security rhetoric from both state and private media have done little to quell terrorist acts. Based on our data, collected in conjunction with the Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset, the country has seen nearly 400 attacks in the year since Sisi appealed for a mandate—more than one attack every day.

Addressing a legitimate security threat and ensuring a safe and democratic society is a mandate shared by every state government. In the interest of exploring the complex relationship between threat and response, TIMEP presents Egypt Security Watch—the only such project to offer original content on the security situation in Egypt as a whole. With this project, we hope to dig deeper than causal explanations for the proliferation of terror violence and to make sense of the ways in which Egypt’s war on terror has and has not been effective. Through our unique efforts to aggregate the most up-to-date and comprehensive data and contextual analysis, we explore not only the dialectic relationship of terror acts and state response, but also the larger political landscape in which these developments occur. This is a live project, meaning we will continue to monitor reports from the ground, work with our network of experts, and track media from state and violent actors, constantly revising our content to provide the most accurate and timely information.

We present this information to you on our website through the Egypt Security Watch web page. The page features several components:

Interactive Map: The live map component of the website showcases both instances of terror attacks and counter-terror efforts. The data represents the most comprehensive set tracking this information, detailing the location, involved actors, and casualties of all events from 2010 to the current day.

Infographics: In order to make our vast TIMEP data accessible to all audiences, and to tell the story of the war on terror in a way that presents the data as clearly as possible, this section will feature graphics and charts to document trends and developments.

Analysis: Because we feel that quantitative data can only tell one side of the story, this section will feature the work of experts looking into the development of security threats, the efficacy and implications of counter-terror efforts, and offer prognosis for the medium- and long-term.

Profiles: While many analyses account for structural developments, sometimes these deal with “terrorism” or “the state” as monoliths. In order to highlight the complexity of agency, this section offers profiles of terrorist groups, their leaders and ideology, as well as those that hold positions of authority in state institutions tasked with combating terrorism.

Reports: TIMEP continues to work with experts in the field and to draw insightful conclusions regarding the state of terrorism and counter-terror efforts. This section will feature a comprehensive report, to be issued in September, that will be of use to policy-makers and analysts trying to understand the security situation in Egypt as a whole, as well as its domestic and regional implications.